Determinants of Exchange Rate Fluctuations of Uzbek Sum

Authors

  • Zafar Berdinazarov

  • Khasanjon Dodoev

  • Jamshid Mamasalaev

  • Jakhongirmirzo Fakhodjonov

Keywords:

exchange rates, interest rate, money supply, net trade, remittance

Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of exchange rate fluctuations of Uzbek sum by using three econometric models OLS (Ordinary Least Squares), ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and ML ARCH (Multivariate Long memory Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskadasticity). Model results show that the effects of money supply and remittances to the nominal and real exchange rates (USD/UZS) are found statistically significant; the impacts of inflation and interest rate are not econometrically meaningful. Also, it should be noted that the level of net trade influences to the exchange rate is not conclusive in our econometric analysis.

How to Cite

Determinants of Exchange Rate Fluctuations of Uzbek Sum. (2019). Global Journal of Management and Business Research, 19(B1), 9-15. https://journalofbusiness.org/index.php/GJMBR/article/view/2721

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Determinants of Exchange Rate Fluctuations of Uzbek Sum

Published

2019-04-08

How to Cite

Determinants of Exchange Rate Fluctuations of Uzbek Sum. (2019). Global Journal of Management and Business Research, 19(B1), 9-15. https://journalofbusiness.org/index.php/GJMBR/article/view/2721