Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market Volatility: The Pakistan Experience
Keywords:
stock exchange, ardl, macroeconomic variables, time series data, kse-100 index, Pakistan
Abstract
This research paper empirically investigates the effects of interest rates exchange rates and inflation rates on stock market performance of Pakistan by using annual time series data covering the 1991-2017 periods The prime intention of this research was to inspect the long- run and short-run relationships between the KSE-100 index and macroeconomic variables by employing the econometric techniques of autoregressive distributed lag ARDL bounds testing procedure to cointegration and the Error Correction Model ECM respectively By applying the ARDL model the empirical results revealed the fact that there was a negative and significant impact of interest rate on the market index whereas the exchange rate and inflation rate have a positive impact on stock market volatility in the long-run Furthermore the ECM analysis points out that an estimated coefficient of the error correction term was significant with expected negative sign and shows that 46 53 deviation of the stock market index are corrected in the short-run per year The study recommended that the monetary authorities should further reduce the bank rate up to the lowest rate in order to stimulate the stock market performance which in turn will boost the existing investment level and will encourage the new investment into the stock market In addition this policy will also ensure in the reduction of higher inflation rates And the study finds that the reduction in bank rate and stabilization in exchange rate is essential to local and foreign investors in the short run
Downloads
- LaTeX Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- Article PDF
- TEI XML Kaleidoscope (download in zip)* (Beta by AI)
- Lens* NISO JATS XML (Beta by AI)
- HTML Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- DBK XML Kaleidoscope (download in zip)* (Beta by AI)
- LaTeX pdf Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- EPUB Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- MD Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- FO Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- BIB Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
How to Cite
Published
2017-03-15
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2017 Authors and Global Journals Private Limited
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.