The Stock Market Volatility and Regime Changes: A Test in Econometrics
Keywords:
arch process, garch process, markov switching
Abstract
This paper applies the Markov switching hetero scedasticity model to stock return for India. The Markov switching model in our study takes into account the chance of regime shift, a possibility outside the purview of the GARCH model. Our finding tells us that the high variance of the transitory component tends to be short lived. Although parameters estimating the impact of time-varying expected returns and the delivery system are in some cases qualitatively different between the regimes, the differences do not produce significant changes in our model of stock returns.
Downloads
- Article PDF
- TEI XML Kaleidoscope (download in zip)* (Beta by AI)
- Lens* NISO JATS XML (Beta by AI)
- HTML Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- DBK XML Kaleidoscope (download in zip)* (Beta by AI)
- LaTeX pdf Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- EPUB Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- MD Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- FO Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- BIB Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- LaTeX Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
How to Cite
References
Andrew Ang, Geert Bekaert (2007) Stock Return Predictability: Is it There?. 20(3), 651-707.
D Backus, A Gregory (1993) Theoretical Relations between Risk Premium and Conditional Variancres. 11, 177-180.
A Goyal, I Welch (2008) A Cmprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction. 21, 1455-1508.
James Hamilton, Raul Susmel (1994) Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity and changes in regime. 64(1-2), 307-333.
A Harvey (1990) The Econometric Analysis of Time Series.
Chang-Jin Kim, Charles Nelson (1998) Testing for mean reversion in heteroskedastic data II: Autoregression tests based on Gibbs-sampling-augmented randomization. 5(4), 385-396.
C Kim, C Neslson (1999) State Space Models with Regimes Switching Classical and Gibbs Sampling Approaches with Applications.
J Porterba, L Summers (1998) Mean Reversion in Stock Prices Evidence and Implications. 22, 27-59.
A Rossi, A Timmermann (2011) Whatis the Shape of the Risk-Return Relation? Working paper.
Laura Spierdijk, Jacob Bikker, Pieter Van Den Hoek (2012) Mean reversion in international stock markets: An empirical analysis of the 20th century. 31(2), 228-249.
Lawrence Summers (1986) Does the Stock Market Rationally Reflect Fundamental Values?. 41(3), 591-601.
L Pastor, R Stambaugh (2001) The Equity Premium and Structural Breaks. 56, 1207-1245.
V Unknown Title.
Published
2017-07-15
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2017 Authors and Global Journals Private Limited

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.