Impacts of Peso Depreciation and Changes in Other Business and Economic Variables on Aggregate Output in Argentina
Keywords:
real depreciation, interest rates, stock prices, oil prices, expected inflation rate
Abstract
This paper examines the effects of real depreciation of the Argentine peso and changes in other relevant macroeconomic variables on real GDP in Argentina. The results show that real GDP is negatively influenced by real depreciation of the peso, the real interest rate and the expected inflation rate and positively affected by the ratio of government spending or government deficit to GDP, the real stock price, the real oil price and U.S. real GDP. Therefore, recent depreciation of the peso hurts real GDP whereas recent rise in the stock price helps real GDP. Relatively high interest rates reduce real GDP through personal consumption spending, investment spending and net exports.
Downloads
- Article PDF
- TEI XML Kaleidoscope (download in zip)* (Beta by AI)
- Lens* NISO JATS XML (Beta by AI)
- HTML Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- DBK XML Kaleidoscope (download in zip)* (Beta by AI)
- LaTeX pdf Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- EPUB Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- MD Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- FO Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- BIB Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
- LaTeX Kaleidoscope* (Beta by AI)
How to Cite
References
L. Alfaro (2015) Sovereign Debt Restructuring: Evaluating the Impact of the Argentina Ruling. 5, 47.
Robert Barro (1989) The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits. 3(2), 37-54. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.3.2.37
C. Baumeister, G. Peersman, I. Van Robays (2010) The Economic Consequences of Oil Shocks: Differences across Countries and Time. Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks. 91-128.
Mario Damill, Roberto Frenkel, Martín Rapetti (2015) Macroeconomic Policy in Argentina During. 57(3), 369-400. https://doi.org/10.1057/ces.2015.3
Christina Dickinson (2015) Argentina and the IMF: Over a Decade After Default. 4, 1-14.
Sebastian Edwards (1986) Are Devaluations Contractionary?. 68(3), 501. https://doi.org/10.2307/1926028
Sebastian Edwards (2015) Sovereign Default, Debt Restructuring, and Recovery Rates: Was the Argentinean "Haircut" Excessive?. 26(5), 839-867. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11079-015-9350-3
Ferrandino V, Sgro V (2015) Monetary Policy in Argentina: From the Inflation of the 1970s to the Default of the New Millennium. 03, 1-30.
G. Georgescu (2015) Argentina's Sovereign Debt Default: A Critical View.
James Hamilton (1996) This is what happened to the oil price-macroeconomy relationship. 38(2), 215-220. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-3932(96)01282-2
James Hamilton (1983) Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II. 91(2), 228-248. https://doi.org/10.1086/261140
J. Hung (2015) An Empirical Analysis of Currency Crises and Their Effects on Output Growth. 81679.
Jiménez-Rodríguez R, Sanchez M (2005) Oil price shocks and real GDP growth: empirical evidence for some OECD countries. 37(2), 201-228.
A. Kronfelt (2015) Four Financial Crises in Argentina: A Comparative Study into the Causes. 1-60.
International Monetary Fund (2015) Statement by the IMF Executive Board on Argentina. 1.
International Monetary Fund (2005) Argentina: 2005 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Argentina. 1.
Mejia-Reyes P, Osborn R, Sensier M (2010) Modelling real exchange rate effects on output performance in Latin America. 42(19), 2491-2503. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840701858117
Knut Mork (1989) Oil and the Macroeconomy When Prices Go Up and Down: An Extension of Hamilton's Results. 97(3), 740-744. https://doi.org/10.1086/261625
Andrew Ojede (2015) Is inflation in developing countries driven by low productivity or monetary growth?. 133, 96-99. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2015.05.028
F. Pan (2015) Understanding the Argentine Peso's Devaluation in 2014.
Patton M (2014) The Three Countries with the Highest Inflation.
D. Salvatore (2013) International Economics, 11th edition, Hoboken, NJ: John.
Carolyn Thomas, Nicolas Cachanosky (2015) Argentina's Post-2001 Economy and the 2014 Default. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2579438
Tovar E (2006) An Analysis of Devaluations and Output Dynamics in Latin America Using an Estimated DSGE Model.
Published
2016-10-18
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2016 Authors and Global Journals Private Limited

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.