Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in SAARC Countries

Table of contents

1. Introduction

he South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) was officially established in December 08, 1985. But the idea for the SAARC was proposed on May 2, 1980, by Ziaur Rahman, the then President of Bangladesh. Major objective of the SAARC is to undertake collective effort toward collective progress for the involved nations of South Asia. Current members of SAARC are the Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. Since inception SAARC leaders meet 18 times and signed a long list of agreements, conventions, understandings and declarations.

Most importantly a number of regional centers were established including the SAARC Agricultural Centre (SAC), SAARC Meteorological Research Centre (SMRC), SAARC Forestry Centre (SFC), SAARC Development Fund (SDF), SAARC Documentation Centre (SDC), SAARC Disaster Management Centre (SDMC), SAARC Coastal Zone Management Centre (SCZMC), SAARC Information Centre (SIC), SAARC Tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS Centre (STAC), SAARC Human Resources Development Centre (SHRDC), SAARC Energy Centre (SEC), and SAARC Cultural Centre (SCC) etc. under the umbrella of SAARC. A good number of apex bodies (professional body, trade body) were establish like SAARC Chamber of Commerce & Industry (SCCI), South Asian Association For Regional Cooperation In Law(SAARCLAW), South Asian Federation of Accountants (SAFA), South Asia Foundation (SAF), South Asia Initiative to End Violence Against Children (SAIEVAC), and Foundation of SAARC Writers and Literature (FOSWAL) etc. under the same umbrella.

Vital achievement of SAARC is to negotiate, sign and activate the South Asian Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA). It opened up our eyes to go further cooperation with visa free South Asia, South Asian Customs Union, South Asian Economic Union, South Asian Investment Forum, South Asian Common Market, South Asian Single Currency, South Asian Common Security Force, South Asian Roads and Water Transport Movement, and South Asian Free Movement of People and Goods etc.

SAARC has potentials to be a powerful regional block in near future if our political leaders become wise, liberal and compromising. SAARC covers 3% of world's geographic territories with 9.12% of global wealth, 21% of world's population (about 1.7 billion). Combined SAARC is the world's 3 rd largest economy after the United States and China. Coverage and capacity of SAARC could be further extended if two neighboring observers' state the Myanmar and China upgraded into full member status (may be in near future).

Along with all the above achievements SAARC has few limitations like significant amount of world's poor populations, lack of human development initiatives, political rivalry between the member states, emergence of few trade agreement among few members countries, poor infrastructure, lack of connectivity, complex visa procedures and mistrust between the general people derived from religious extremism etc. derives from or by this frustrated poor populations. Human capacity development initiative should be the number one priority for the SAARC leaders at this moment. Employment generation and entrepreneurship development could be the best tools to overcome this severe problems of the SSARC region. It will increase combined SAARC GDP, export earnings, and ensure faster and inclusive economic growth of the region.

Common initiative could be taken to increase investment in the SAARC region either by the entrepreneurs of SAARC member states or to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) into the SAARC region.

2. b) Objectives of this study

Main objective of this study is to analyze current trend of FDI into the SAARC countries. What are the potential sectors for investment in the SAARC countries, who are the investor countries, what are the challenges to increase intra SAARC FDI, How intra SAARC FDI could be further promoted under a common platform.

3. c) Methodology

This study is conducted based on the secondary data and information available in different international databases and publications. A number of research articles, study reports, working papers etc. were studied to find out the facts.

4. d) Scope of the Work

Four

5. e) Limitation of this study

Main limitation of this study is it contains secondary study materials only. A number of focused group discussion (FGD), key informant interview (KII) could be organized in each of the SAARC countries to find out the fact from the primary sources. As we have budgetary constraints and limited resources we studies only secondary materials and used information from several internationally reputed databases.

6. f) Literature Review

The Government of the People's Republic of Bangladesh sent a proposal to the Heads of the States of seven South Asian countries to think about a platform of regional cooperation in November 1980. Following that proposal, Foreign Secretaries of seven South Asian countries met for the first time in Colombo in April 1981. That meeting was followed by the foreign ministers' meeting in New Delhi in August 1983, the adoption of the Declaration on South Asian Regional Cooperation, as well as the launching of the Integrated Program of Action (IPA), which initially addressed five areas of cooperation: (i) agriculture, (ii) rural development, (iii) telecommunications, (iv) meteorology, and (v) health and population. Two additional areas, covering (vi) scientific and technological cooperation and (vii) sports, arts and culture were added to the IPA at a later stage. At a meeting of Heads of State of Government, held in Dhaka on 7-8 December 1985, a Charter was adopted that formally to establish South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC). The 1985 meeting in Dhaka is subsequently known as the first SAARC Summit (Abdin 2009).

The SAARC Preferential Trading Arrangement (SAPTA) was initiated in April 11, 1993 Due to the rival political relationship among few SAARC countries it took time to make decision and enter into force. Therefore several regional / bilateral initiatives like, APTA, BIMSTEC were signed or reinforce to offer similar free trade cooperation with few of the SAARC members states. But to be a real regional economic block SAARC has no alternative. Therefore it is time for the South Asian Leaders to make it effective and more cooperative along with investment agreement, free movement of people and goods, regional land, sea and air connectivity, transport facility, investment promotion etc. features.

7. II.

8. Fdi Inflows into the saarc Countries

During last 10 years the largest economy of SAARC i.e. India got highest amount of FDI inflows followed by Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. The land locked countries like Nepal and Bhutan is performing poor in this regard. War affected Afghanistan's performance is extremely poor in FDI attraction. From an analytical point of view overall performance of SAARC countries in FDI attraction in comparison with Vietnam, Singapore is not well at all.

9. a) Ranking of the SAARC countries in FDI attraction

If we consider total amount of FDI inflows into the SAARC countries India got 85% of total FDI inflows into the SAARC countries. Then 85% of the total inflows entered into India followed by Pakistan with 9% of total FDI inflows and Bangladesh's position is 3 rd with only 3% of total FDI inflows.

10. b) FDI Inflows (Net) in percentage of GDP of the SAARC countries

Maldives is the only SAARC country attracted FDI inflow about 13% of its total GDP. Bhutan got about 3% of its GDP. India got 1.5% even sometimes 3.5 % of its GDP. Bangladesh being able to attract FDI up to 1% of its GDP.

From this perspective SAARC countries are performing very poor in comparison with the ASEAN countries. For example Singapore got FDI inflow about 22% of its GDP. Vietnam got FDI inflow about 7% of its total GDP. Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia is also doing comparatively well in FDI attraction than that of the SAARC countries.

If a combined effort is taken under the umbrella of SAARC to establish an institute for promoting FDI into the SAARC countries and inspiring intra SAARC FDI investment then obviously SAARC countries will perform better than their current condition. c) Top 10 Sectors attracting more FDI into the SAARC Region SAARC countries are having almost similar product in their export basket, accordingly SAARC countries are trying to get investment into the same industrial sector of their own. For example Textile, clothing and readymade garment is a common industrial sector for almost all the SAARC countries like, Bangladesh, India, Sri Lanka and Pakistan everybody is trying to flourish respective garment industries and get FDI in it.

Similarly telecommunication, IT, ICT and Tourism are the common sectors for almost every SAARC countries. For example Bangladesh, India, Afghanistan are getting highest FDI in respective telecommunication and ICT sector. At the same time Nepal, Bhutan, India, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Maldives are fighting to promote respective tourism sectors and attract more tourists into their spots.

Generally it may be understand that all the SAARC countries are fighting with same industries but there are some basic differences as well. Therefore we are in need of classifying the industries based in respective competitive advantages. Allocating specialized sector for respective countries. So that, we will not be competitor rather we all countries will promote others industries as complement not supplement each other's. For example Afghanistan, Bangladesh Nepal, Bhutan, India and Pakistan have hill stations as tourist spots. But same environment is not everywhere. Pakistan, India and Nepal have snow covered hill station on the other hand Bangladeshi hill stations are ever green. Bangladesh, India, Sri Lanka, and Maldives have sea beaches but Nepal, Bhutan and Afghanistan do not. So they could promote the beauty of sea beaches to the tourist used to visit hill station this year it may be happened they are planning to visit a sea beach next year.

11. d) Sources of FDI into SAARC Countries

Most of the SAARC countries got FDI investment from the western countries like USA and EU member states. There are few regional like Singapore, China, Japan and Indian investments as well.

12. a) Current economic dynamics of the SAARC Countries

SAARC is covering about 3% of global territory with all features of the earth. There are to mountains, deep oceans, longest sea beaches, deserts, plain lands, green fields etc. Most of the SAARC countries have more than thousand dollar GDP per capita and positive growth rates. SAARC countries are till now trade deficit countries. All the SAARC countries are importing more than that of their exports. As a result united SAARC is one of the largest buyers of the globe. Most of the SAARC countries used to import capital machineries, raw materials, and chemicals. On the other hand their export basket is comparatively small and fixed with same or similar products. They must have to diversify their export basket to grow further and capture a larger portion of the global trade. e) Free movement of people and goods shall be practically encouraged by developing road, sea and air connectivity along with sufficient transports available.

f) Special attention shall be given to identify and remove non-tariff barriers existing or upcoming in the SAARC region.

V.

13. Concluding Remarks

South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) has already spent plenty of time without of no use. It took comparatively longer period than that of the EU, ASEAN or even NAFTA to be effective in terms of trade and investment cooperation. A significant amount of world's poor population is living in this region. At the same time SAARC has potentials to grow faster and alleviate poverty within shortest possible time. Therefore it is our political leader's / government's turn to take decision whether they would like to drive the poor SAARC into a developed and deeply economic integrated SAARC with an effective fiscal union or let the SAARC to be further ineffective day by day.

Figure 1.
Figure 2.
region. Most of the criminal/terrorist/illegal occurrences Organizing SAARC Trade Fairs, and establishing SAARC
Arbitration Council etc.
Year
Volume XV Issue VIII Version I
( ) C
Global Journal of Management and Business Research
Standards, Cooperation in Avoidance of Double
Taxation, Customs Cooperation, SAARCSTAT,
Figure 3. Table 1 :
1
Country/ Years 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Afghanistan 186.9 271 238 188.69 94.38 75.73 211.25 83.41 93.8 69.29
Bangladesh 460.4 845.26 792.48 666.36 1086.31 700.16 913.32 1136.38 1292.56 1599.13
Bhutan 8.85 6.21 72.16 3.02 19.90 71.65 30.80 25.92 21.83 21.28
India 5777.80 7621.76 20327.76 25349.89 47138.73 35657.25 27431.23 36190.4 24195.77 28199.44
Maldives 52.93 73.23 95.22 132.43 181.25 157.96 216.46 256.46 283.97 325.25
Nepal -0.41 2.45 -6.64 5.89 1.01 38.55 86.73 95.48 91.97 73.63
Pakistan 1118 2201 4273 5590 5438 2338 2022 1326 859 1307
Sri Lanka 233 272 480 603.4 752.2 404 477.6 981.1 941.12 915.57
Note: Source: UNCTAD Start Database (http://unctadstat.unctad.org/wds/TableViewer/tableView.aspx). Collected onAugust 6, 2015. Compiled by the author.
Figure 4. Table 2 :
2
Country Total FDI Each country FDI Ranking
Inflow share
(2004 -2013)
Afghanistan 1512.46 0.49 % 6th
Bangladesh 9492.36 3.12 % 3rd
Bhutan 281.65 0.09 % 8th
India 257890.05 84.86 % 1st
Maldives 1775.21 0.58 % 5th
Nepal 388.67 0.12 % 7th
Pakistan 26472 8.71 % 2nd
Sri Lanka 6059.99 1.99 % 4th
Grand Total 303872.39 100 %
Source: Compiled by the author based on UNCTAD Start Database.
Figure 5. Table 3 :
3
Country/Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Afghanistan 3.5 4.3 3.4 1.9 0.9 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3
Bangladesh 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0
Bhutan 1.3 0.8 0.7 6.2 0.2 1.4 4.7 1.7 1.3 2.8
India 0.8 0.9 2.1 2.0 3.5 2.6 1.6 2.0 1.3 1.5
Maldives 4.4 4.7 4.3 7.6 8.6 7.3 9.3 17.2 9.0 13.3
Nepal 0 0 -0.1 0.1 0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Pakistan 1.1 2.0 3.1 3.7 3.2 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.6
Sri Lanka 1.1 1.1 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.4
Figure 6. Table 4 :
4
Sl. Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan India Maldives Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka
1 Agriculture Textiles, Hotels Unspecified Tourism Hydro- Petroleum Chemicals and
and Related clothing and secondary electricity chemical products
Industries leather
2 Construction Finance Agro & Hotels and Fisheries Tourism Finance Food, beverages
Food restaurants and tobacco
3 Telecommuni Electricity, gas Financial Finance Transportation Health Chemicals Metal and metal
cations and water Services & shipping and chemical products
products
4 Transports Transport, IT Electricity, Telecommunic Education Motor Non-metallic
and logistics storage and gas and ation & ICT vehicles and mineral products
communica- water other
tions transport
equipment
5 Mining Non-metallic Ferro Alloys Construction Power ICT Electricity, Other
mineral gas and manufacturing
products water
6 Power Chemicals and Power Business Carpets & Construction Textiles, clothing
Note: Nepal:Adhikari, R. (Undated). Foreign Direct Investment in Nepal: Current status, prospects and challenges, South Asia Watch on Trade, Economics and Environment (SAWTEE), Working Paper No. 01/13.
Figure 7. Table 5 :
5
Year 2015
Sl. Afghanistan 1 India 2 USA Bangladesh United Arab Emirates Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) Bhutan India Singapore India Mauritius Singapore Maldives Italy UK Nepal India China Pakistan USA UK Sri Lanka China Hong Kong Volume XV Issue VIII Version I ( )
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Sources: Compiled by the author from the following sources: China United Kingdom Japan UAE United States USA The Netherlands EU member states Netherlands USA UK Egypt Japan Malaysia Cyprus South Korea Germany India France China UAE i. Alam, M.S (2012); Foreign Direct Investment in Bangladesh: A Critical Analysis, South East Asian Journal of Contemporary Germany EU member states UAE Singapore France USA Japan Netherlands Japan South Korea Hong Kong Malaysia China Switzerland UK India KSA India Switzerland Germany Russia South Korea Norway Business, Economics and Law, Vol. 1. ii. FDI: The top 10 nations investing in India (2011), http://www.rediff.com/business/slide-show/slide-show-1-the-fdi-inflows-in-india-top-10-countries/20110908.htm#11 iii. The Board of Investment, Government of Pakistan. Link is http://boi.gov.pk/ForeignInvestmentinPakistan.aspx (Cited on June Global Journal of Management and Business Research
25, 2015).
Note: iv. Smith, S.(2013). Sri Lanka earns $870m in Foreign Direct Investment in2013, the Republic Squire. Link is http://www.therepublicsquare.com/business/2013/12/sri-lanka-receives-870-m-in-foreign-direct-investment/ v. Adhikari, R. (Undated). Foreign Direct Investment in Nepal: Current status, prospects and challenges, South Asia Watch on Trade, Economics and Environment (SAWTEE), Working Paper No. 01/13. vi. Kundur, S.K. (2012). Development of Tourism in Maldives, International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 2, Issue 4, April 2012. C e)
Figure 8. Table 6 :
6
Country / Years 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Afghanistan .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Bangladesh 5.7 3.3 3.6 21 9.3 29.3 15.4 13.04 52.78 32.27
Bhutan .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
India 2175.36 2985.48 14284.9 17233.76 21147.36 16031.3 15932.52 12456.13 8485.699 1678.743
Maldives .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Nepal .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Pakistan 56 45 109 98 49 71 47 62 82 237
Sri Lanka 6 38 29 55 61.7 20 42.5 60 63.93 65.07
Source: UNCTAD Start Database (http://unctadstat.unctad.org/wds/TableViewer/tableView.aspx). Collected on August 6, 2015.
Compiled by the author.
III. Economic and Trade Co-operation
under saarc
Till now SAARC do not have visible
achievements in terms of investment promotion. But I
think it's ground works were started in form of signing
and activating South Asian Free Trade Agreement
(SAFTA), SAARC cooperation in Standards, SAARC
Agreement on Trade in Services, Cooperation in
Avoidance of Double Taxation, SAARC Customs
Cooperation, Organizing SAARC Trade Fairs for several
times, establishment of SAARC Chamber of Commerce
and Industry, and SAARC Arbitration Council. Now it is
the time to finalize and activate Agreement on Promotion
and Protection of Investment among the SAARC
Countries. This agreement may consider to establish a
body for united effort to attract foreign direct investment
(FDI) into the SAARC states based on respective
competitive advantages of different member countries.
Figure 9. Table 7 :
7
Year
Volume XV Issue VIII Version I
( ) C
Global Journal of Management and Business Research Countries / Indicators Afghanistan Bangladesh Bhutan India Territory (km2) 652,000 147,570 38,394 3,287,590 Population 31,822,848 156,594,962 742,737 1,210,193,422 GDP (PPP, in bn. USD) 36.83 572.44 5.85 7997 GDP (Nominal, in bn. USD) 21.74 205.32 2.09 2308 GDP Per-capita (nominal, in USD) 695 1,284 2,730 1,808 Total Export -2014 (in USD thousand) 845,891 33,231,332 170,607 317,544,642 Total Import -2014 (in USD Thousand) 6,241,347 38,504,053 264,842 459,369,464 Trade Balance (in USD Thousand) -5,395,456 -5,272,721 -94,235 -141,824,822
Maldives 298 393,500 2.84 1.94 5,973 218,373 1,253,733 -1,035,360
Nepal 147,181 26,494,504 62.38 19.92 743 910,849 7,295,737 -6,384,888
Pakistan 803,940 191,715,847 928.43 250.13 1,342 24,722,182 47,544,889 -22,822,707
Sri Lanka 65,610 20,277,597 233.63 80.59 3,818 11,295,486 19,244,461 -7,948,975
Total 5,142,583 1,638,235,417 9,839 2,890 18,393 388,939,362 579,718,526 -190,779,164
Note: Sources: Compiled by the author from Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org), and ITC Trade Map (http://www.trademap.org/) on August 9, 2015.c
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2

Appendix A

  1. Foreign Direct Investment in Bangladesh: A Critical Analysis, 1.
  2. /12/sri-lanka-receives-870-m-in-foreign-directinvestment,
  3. Regional Economic Integration and FDI in South Asia: Prospects and Problems, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, A Aggarwal . July 2008. (Working Paper No # 218)
  4. http://www.trademap.org/)citedonAugust9 and ITC Trade Map, 2015. (Wikipedia)
  5. http://www.investmentmap.-org Collected on August 5, 2015. Compiled by the author, (ITC Investment Map)
  6. http://www.rediff.com/business/slide-show/slide-show-1-the-fdi-inflows-in-india-top-10-countries/-20-110908.htm#11 FDI: The top 10 nations investing in India, 2011.
  7. Finance and Private Sector Development Unit. The Maldives: Sustaining Growth & Improving the Investment Climate, April 2006.
  8. Role of Incentives in Promoting FDI for Inclusive and Sustainable Development. L Chapagai . Ministry of Economic Affairs, (Bhutan
    ) November 2013.
  9. , M Alam . 2012.
  10. An Analysis of SAFTA in the Context of Bangladesh, M J Abdin . May 2009. Bangladesh Development Research Center, USA.
  11. Foreign Direct Investment in Nepal: Current status, prospects and challenges. R Adhikari . South Asia Watch on Trade, Economics and Environment (Undated). Working Paper No. 01/13)
  12. Area of Cooperation: Economic and Trade, Cited at SAARC Secretariat's Website on August 9, Saarc , Secretariat . http://saarc-sec.org/areaofcooperation/cat-detail.-php?cat_id=45 August 2015. 2015.
  13. Development of Tourism in Maldives. S K Kundur . International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications 2012. April 2012. 2 (4) .
  14. Sri Lanka earns $870m in Foreign Direct Investment in 2013, the Republic Squire, S Smith . http://www.therepublicsquare.com/business/- 2013.
  15. http://boi.gov.pk/ForeignInvestmentin-Pakistan.aspx The Board of Investment, Government of Pakistan, June 25. 2015.
  16. http://unctadstat.unctad.-org/wds/TableViewer/tableView.aspx UNCTAD Start Database, (Collected on August 6, 2015. Compiled by the author)
Notes
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© 2015 Global Journals Inc. (US) 1
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© 2015 Global Journals Inc. (US)
Date: 2015-03-15